North Atlantic air travel had an difficult summer as traffic softens, AirInsight data show

AirInsight’s latest analysis of North Atlantic travel shows the transatlantic market between the United States and Europe had a weak summer through July 2026, with traffic still subdued and only one month of peak-season data left to come. Using DHS I-92 data, the review puts 2026 traffic at about 43% of last year’s annual flow by July, below the pace normally expected at that point in the season.

The data point to a broader shift in market composition rather than a short-lived disruption. Americans are becoming a larger share of the traffic base, while smaller aircraft are gaining importance as hub traffic fragments. The analysis also frames the softening as part of a wider demand trend across the market, leaving carriers facing a weaker transatlantic summer than many had expected. August results were not yet fully included in the figures.